Discovery, ranked by signal

Explore Signals and Topics

Markets remain proposition-level public records. Explore groups them into source events and surfaces only the leader, material mover, or credible challenger that explains why the event matters now.

Eligible propositions: 260
Selected events: 151
Recent Signal subjects: 287
Ranked as of: Aug 11, 2026, 03:18 PM UTC

Event-aware expectations

Selected Event Signals

12 shown · 13 lower-value propositions folded away

politicsverified signal

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $131.2K traded in 24h

leaderUnited Russia (ER)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
66.5%→ 0pp
largest material moveNew People (NL)
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
26.3%↗ +1.4pp

pop culturematerial repricing

Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $45.8K traded in 24h

leader160-179

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

35.5%↗ +11pp

largest material move140-159

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

21.5%↗ +13pp

united statesactive event

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $36.3K traded in 24h

leaderJ.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
44.2%↗ +0.2pp
credible challengerMarco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
23.4%→ 0pp

presidentactive event

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $84.1K traded in 24h

leaderJD Vance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21.7%→ 0pp
credible challengerMarco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12.4%↘ -0.1pp

aliensactive event

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Related source markets · $22.4K traded in 24h

highest 24h activityDecember 31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4.5%→ 0pp
ranked representativeSeptember 30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2.1%↘ -0.1pp

resignactive event

Trump out as President by August 31?

Related source markets · $226.7K traded in 24h

highest 24h activityTrump out as President by August 31?
0.5%↘ 0pp

politicsverified signal

White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $9.6K traded in 24h

leader180-199
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
99.2%—

pop cultureobserved move

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $5.7K traded in 24h

leader180-199
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
20.5%↗ +1pp

united statesactive event

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $17.8K traded in 24h

leaderDemocrats Sweep
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
46.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerR Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
40.5%→ 0pp