Discovery, ranked by signal

Explore Signals and Topics

Markets remain proposition-level public records. Explore groups them into source events and surfaces only the leader, material mover, or credible challenger that explains why the event matters now.

Eligible propositions: 256
Selected events: 149
Recent Signal subjects: 287
Ranked as of: Aug 11, 2026, 03:18 PM UTC

Event-aware expectations

Selected Event Signals

12 shown · 13 lower-value propositions folded away

soccerverified signal

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $19.7K traded in 24h

leaderHarry Kane
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
58.3%↗ +0.7pp
latest verified signalLamine Yamal
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17.4%↘ 0pp

sportsmaterial repricing

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $77.5K traded in 24h

leaderDeportivo Toluca FC
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?

70.5%

↘ -13.5pp

credible challengerDraw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas)

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?

18.5%—

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Team Solid vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

Related source markets · $0.0 traded in 24h

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
51%—
highest source probabilityBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
52%—

sportsmaterial repricing

CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $10.9K traded in 24h

leaderCDPJuniorFC
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?
61.5%↘ -12pp

esportsnear resolution

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Related source markets · $0.0 traded in 24h

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
51%—
highest source probabilityAny Player Quadra Kill
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
54%—

sportsmaterial repricing

FC Cincinnati vs. Atlas FC

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $92.8K traded in 24h

leaderFC Cincinnati
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?
69.5%↗ +7pp
credible challengerDraw (FC Cincinnati vs. Atlas FC)
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
17.5%—

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

Related source markets · $0.0 traded in 24h

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
51%—

sportsmaterial repricing

Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $44.9K traded in 24h

leaderOlympique Lyonnais
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?
69.5%↗ +4pp
credible challengerDraw (Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha)
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?
17.5%—

moviesverified signal

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $23.0K traded in 24h

leader900m+
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
54%↘ -3.4pp
largest material move800 - 900m
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
46%↗ +6.5pp

pop culturematerial repricing

Next James Bond actor?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $17.0K traded in 24h

leaderNo Bond chosen
No one announced as next James Bond?
22.8%—
largest material moveCallum Turner
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
14.5%↘ -8.5pp

rewards 20 4pt5 50active event

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $17.7K traded in 24h

leaderSpider-Man: Brand New Day
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
91.5%→ 0pp
highest 24h activityAvengers: Doomsday
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
7.5%→ 0pp

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?

Mutually exclusive outcome slate · $15.5K traded in 24h

leader32°C or higher
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?
39.5%—
credible challenger31°C
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?
28%—