依訊號重要性排序

探索訊號與主題

每個市場仍保留為命題層級的公開紀錄；探索頁將它們按來源事件分組，只呈現領先者、重大變動者，或足以解釋事件為何此刻重要的可信挑戰者。

事件與市場標題目前保留來源的英文原文；介面、方法說明與時間格式已使用繁體中文。

符合資格的命題: 244
入選事件: 146
近期訊號主體: 287
排序截至: 2026年8月11日下午03:18 [UTC]

以事件為單位的預期

精選事件訊號

顯示 12 組 · 已收起 14 個較低價值命題

sportsobserved move

F1 Drivers' Champion

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.2萬

leaderKimi Antonelli
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
74.3%↗ +0.1pp
largest material moveLewis Hamilton
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10.6%↗ +0.5pp

sportsnear resolution

Valencia CF vs. CD Teruel

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.7萬

leaderValencia CF
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-12?
63%—

weathermaterial repricing

Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$4.3萬

leader28°C
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?
19%↘ -4pp
qualified tail anomaly27°C
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?
0.7%↘ -2.8pp

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.7萬

leader34°C
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 12?
53%—
highest 24h activity35°C
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 12?
2.8%↗ +0.2pp

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Madrid on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.8萬

leader39°C
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?
51.5%—
credible challenger38°C
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?
36.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.4萬

leader36°C
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?
45%—
credible challenger35°C
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?
29.5%—

weathernear resolution

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.0萬

leader29°C
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?
69.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Busan on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$9262.4

leader31°C
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?
37.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in London on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$8981.4

leader31°C
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?
39.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$8692.0

leader37°C
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 12?
38.5%—
credible challenger36°C
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 12?
35%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Singapore on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$7941.2

leader32°C
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 12?
60.5%—

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Paris on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$6355.3

leader35°C
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?
54.5%—

每個主體的目前紀錄

近期訊號

顯示 2 筆 · 較早快照仍保留在公開帳本

編輯台訊號事件／主體有效至更新

預期變化Probability of Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations moved仍有效5 天前

預期變化Probability of Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations moved仍有效5 天前