依訊號重要性排序

探索訊號與主題

每個市場仍保留為命題層級的公開紀錄；探索頁將它們按來源事件分組，只呈現領先者、重大變動者，或足以解釋事件為何此刻重要的可信挑戰者。

事件與市場標題目前保留來源的英文原文；介面、方法說明與時間格式已使用繁體中文。

符合資格的命題: 230
入選事件: 140
近期訊號主體: 287
排序截至: 2026年8月11日下午02:14 [UTC]

以事件為單位的預期

精選事件訊號

顯示 12 組 · 已收起 4 個較低價值命題

financeverified signal

Anthropic IPO by __?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$7.0萬

latest verified signalDecember 31, 2026
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
84.5%↗ +12pp
largest material moveOctober 31, 2026
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
73.5%↗ +35pp

fdvverified signal

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.0萬

latest verified signal$150M
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
73.5%↘ -0.5pp
largest material move$300M

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

37%

↘ -2.5pp

bitcoinverified signal

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$598.2

latest verified signal↓ 60,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
78%↗ +1.5pp
highest 24h activity↑ 70,000
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
71.5%↘ -1pp

solanaverified signal

What price will Solana hit in August?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$298.6

latest verified signal↑ 80
Will Solana reach $80 in August?
58.5%↘ -1.5pp

gamingverified signal

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$8201.4

latest verified signalAugust 31
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?
92.3%↗ +1.3pp

businessmaterial repricing

IPOs before 2027?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.2萬

largest material moveAnthropic
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
82.5%↗ +9pp
highest source probabilitySHEIN
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
94.5%—

fifamaterial repricing

Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.3萬

largest material moveRicardo Quaresma
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
29%↘ -4.5pp
highest 24h activityEdu Aguirre
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
27.5%↘ -2pp

xrpmaterial repricing

What price will XRP hit in August?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$5854.7

largest material move↑ 1.20
Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?
8.5%↘ -3pp

acquisitionsobserved move

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.8萬

largest material moveWill GameStop acquire eBay?
8.5%↘ -2pp

ethereumobserved move

What price will Ethereum hit in August?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$5331.2

largest material move↓ 1,800
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?
62.5%↗ +2pp
highest source probability↑ 1,900
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?
92.5%—

iranobserved move

Iran full airspace closure by...?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$4535.8

largest material moveDecember 31
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
28.5%↘ -2pp
ranked representativeSeptember 30
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
17%↗ +0.5pp