依訊號重要性排序

探索訊號與主題

每個市場仍保留為命題層級的公開紀錄；探索頁將它們按來源事件分組，只呈現領先者、重大變動者，或足以解釋事件為何此刻重要的可信挑戰者。

事件與市場標題目前保留來源的英文原文；介面、方法說明與時間格式已使用繁體中文。

符合資格的命題: 241
入選事件: 146
近期訊號主體: 287
排序截至: 2026年8月11日下午02:14 [UTC]

以事件為單位的預期

精選事件訊號

顯示 12 組 · 已收起 9 個較低價值命題

soccerverified signal

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$5.2萬

leaderHarry Kane
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
58%↗ +0.3pp
latest verified signalLamine Yamal
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17.4%↘ 0pp

sportsmaterial repricing

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$8.1萬

leaderDeportivo Toluca FC
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?
68.5%↗ +19.5pp
credible challengerDraw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas)

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?

18.5%

—

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Team Solid vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$0.0

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
52%—

nba finalsactive event

NBA: 2027 Champion

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.2萬

leaderOklahoma City Thunder
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
21.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerSan Antonio Spurs
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
20.5%→ 0pp

EPLactive event

EPL: 2027 Champion

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.5萬

leaderArsenal
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
39.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerManchester City
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5%→ 0pp

sportsmaterial repricing

CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.2萬

leaderNashville SC
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?
43.5%↗ +12pp

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$0.0

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
51%—

sportsmaterial repricing

RC Deportivo De La Coruna vs. Real Madrid

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.4萬

leaderReal Madrid
Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?
65.5%↘ -11pp

esportsnear resolution

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$0.0

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
51.5%—
highest source probabilityBoth Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
51.5%—

sportsmaterial repricing

Tigres de la UANL vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$22.0萬

leaderTigres de la UANL
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-11?
69.5%↗ +10.5pp
credible challengerDraw (Tigres de la UANL vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC)
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
17.5%↘ -5pp

moviesverified signal

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.5萬

leader900m+
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
56.7%↘ -1.9pp
largest material move800 - 900m
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
44.5%↗ +5pp

rewards 20 4pt5 50active event

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.8萬

leaderSpider-Man: Brand New Day
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
91.5%→ 0pp
highest 24h activityAvengers: Doomsday
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
7.5%→ 0pp

每個主體的目前紀錄

近期訊號

顯示 4 筆 · 較早快照仍保留在公開帳本

編輯台訊號事件／主體有效至更新

規則變化Hazardous Materials: Allowing Fireworks Certification Agencies (FCAs) To Approve Professional Fireworks is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules moved仍有效3 天前

規則變化Bacillus thuringiensis eCry1Gb.1Ig Protein; Exemption From the Requirement of a Pesticide Tolerance is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules moved仍有效3 天前

預期變化Probability of Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations moved仍有效4 天前

預期變化Probability of Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati shifted.derived observation · verifiedexpectations moved仍有效4 天前