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Open Signal公開測試版

即時版面探索典藏方法

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English 繁體中文

運作正常

依訊號重要性排序

探索訊號與主題

每個市場仍保留為命題層級的公開紀錄；探索頁將它們按來源事件分組，只呈現領先者、重大變動者，或足以解釋事件為何此刻重要的可信挑戰者。

事件與市場標題目前保留來源的英文原文；介面、方法說明與時間格式已使用繁體中文。

符合資格的命題: 227
入選事件: 137
近期訊號主體: 287
排序截至: 2026年8月11日下午02:14 [UTC]

以事件為單位的預期

精選事件訊號

顯示 12 組 · 已收起 8 個較低價值命題

bitcoinnear resolution

Bitcoin above ___ on August 17?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$30.1

highest 24h activity54,000
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?
99.1%—

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月17日下午04:00 [UTC]+10 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

soccerverified signal

Where will Rodri transfer?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.3萬

leaderBarcelona
Will Rodri join Barcelona?
86.9%↘ -4.5pp
ranked representativeManchester City
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?
9.8%↗ +1.8pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年9月2日上午03:59 [UTC]+3 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

fifaverified signal

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.3萬

latest verified signalGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
20.5%↘ -1.5pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年12月31日上午12:00 [UTC]完整事件檢視

Polymarket Gamma ↗

sportsverified signal

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$9879.8

leaderJannik Sinner
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
52.5%↗ +1pp
latest verified signalAlexander Zverev
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
14.2%↗ +0.3pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年9月13日上午12:00 [UTC]+20 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Team Solid vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$0.0

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay a Dragon
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
51.5%—

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月12日上午12:00 [UTC]+17 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

nba finalsactive event

NBA: 2027 Champion

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$2.2萬

leaderOklahoma City Thunder
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
21.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerSan Antonio Spurs
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
20.5%→ 0pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2027年7月1日上午12:00 [UTC]+28 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

uclactive event

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$5644.4

leaderParis Saint-Germain
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
14.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerBarcelona
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
14.5%→ 0pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2027年5月30日下午11:59 [UTC]+27 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

soccerverified signal

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$5.1萬

leaderHarry Kane
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
58%↗ +0.3pp
latest verified signalLamine Yamal
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17.4%↘ 0pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年10月31日上午12:00 [UTC]+29 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

sportsmaterial repricing

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$8.2萬

leaderDeportivo Toluca FC
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?
68.5%↗ +19.5pp
credible challengerDraw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas)
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
18.5%—

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月13日上午02:00 [UTC]+1 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

esportsnear resolution

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

相關來源市場 · 24 小時交易量 US$0.0

highest 24h activityBoth Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
51%—

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月12日下午08:30 [UTC]+22 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

sportsmaterial repricing

CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.2萬

leaderNashville SC
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?
43.5%↗ +12pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月13日上午12:00 [UTC]+2 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

sportsmaterial repricing

CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$8905.5

leaderCDPJuniorFC
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?
64.5%↘ -9pp

觀測於 12 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月12日上午01:05 [UTC]+2 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

← 較新事件第 9 頁，共 12 頁更多事件 →

每個主體的目前紀錄

近期訊號

顯示 24 筆 · 較早快照仍保留在公開帳本

編輯台訊號事件／主體有效至更新

預期變化The YES probability for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? decreased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?2026年8月14日上午09:14 [UTC]17 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? decreased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedLos Angeles Mayoral Election2026年8月14日上午08:15 [UTC]18 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? decreased by 1.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?2026年8月14日上午08:15 [UTC]18 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 10-16? decreased by 5.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Ethereum hit August 10-16?2026年8月14日上午04:16 [UTC]22 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026? decreased by 6.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedGrok 4.6 released by...?2026年8月14日上午04:16 [UTC]22 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Solana reach $80 in August? decreased by 7.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Solana hit in August?2026年8月14日上午04:16 [UTC]22 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? increased by 12.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?2026年8月14日上午04:16 [UTC]22 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? increased by 6.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?2026年8月14日上午03:15 [UTC]23 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? increased by 42.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified# of views of MrBeast video week 1?2026年8月14日上午03:15 [UTC]23 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? increased by 3.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?2026年8月14日上午02:15 [UTC]24 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? increased by 38.3 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?2026年8月14日上午01:15 [UTC]25 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? decreased by 6.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Bitcoin hit August 10-16?2026年8月13日下午11:15 [UTC]27 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? increased by 38.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?2026年8月13日下午11:15 [UTC]27 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? decreased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?2026年8月13日下午09:16 [UTC]29 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? increased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedElon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026?2026年8月13日下午09:16 [UTC]29 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? increased by 3.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedKai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?2026年8月13日下午09:16 [UTC]29 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? increased by 11.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?2026年8月13日下午09:16 [UTC]29 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? increased by 4.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?2026年8月13日下午06:15 [UTC]32 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? increased by 2.4 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)2026年8月13日下午05:15 [UTC]33 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? increased by 26.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?2026年8月13日下午05:15 [UTC]33 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? increased by 3.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedExtended FDV above ___ one day after launch?2026年8月13日下午03:14 [UTC]35 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Rodri join Barcelona? increased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhere will Rodri transfer?2026年8月13日下午02:14 [UTC]36 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? increased by 2.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedBallon d'Or Winner 20262026年8月13日下午12:14 [UTC]38 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31? decreased by 3.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedKai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?2026年8月13日上午07:15 [UTC]43 小時前

← 較新訊號第 2 頁，共 4 頁更多訊號 →