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依訊號重要性排序

探索訊號與主題

每個市場仍保留為命題層級的公開紀錄；探索頁將它們按來源事件分組，只呈現領先者、重大變動者，或足以解釋事件為何此刻重要的可信挑戰者。

事件與市場標題目前保留來源的英文原文；介面、方法說明與時間格式已使用繁體中文。

符合資格的命題: 211
入選事件: 124
近期訊號主體: 287
排序截至: 2026年8月11日下午02:14 [UTC]

以事件為單位的預期

精選事件訊號

顯示 4 組 · 已收起 16 個較低價值命題

sportsactive event

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$5.1萬

leaderLos Angeles Rams
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
14.5%→ 0pp
credible challengerBuffalo Bills
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
7.5%→ 0pp

觀測於 40 小時前 · 結算 2027年3月31日下午11:55 [UTC]+30 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Singapore on August 13?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.2萬

leader33°C
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?
36%—

觀測於 40 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月13日下午12:00 [UTC]

+10 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$1.1萬

leader72-73°F
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12?
13.5%—

觀測於 40 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月12日下午12:00 [UTC]+10 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

weathernear resolution

Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?

互斥結果組 · 24 小時交易量 US$4050.2

leader31°C
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?
25.5%—

觀測於 40 小時前 · 結算 2026年8月13日下午12:00 [UTC]+10 個來源結果已收進此事件

Polymarket Gamma ↗

← 較新事件第 11 頁，共 11 頁

每個主體的目前紀錄

近期訊號

顯示 24 筆 · 較早快照仍保留在公開帳本

編輯台訊號事件／主體有效至更新

預期變化The YES probability for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? decreased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?2026年8月14日上午09:14 [UTC]45 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? decreased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedLos Angeles Mayoral Election2026年8月14日上午08:15 [UTC]46 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? decreased by 1.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?2026年8月14日上午08:15 [UTC]46 小時前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 10-16? decreased by 5.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Ethereum hit August 10-16?2026年8月14日上午04:16 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? increased by 12.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?2026年8月14日上午04:16 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? increased by 6.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?2026年8月14日上午03:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? increased by 42.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified# of views of MrBeast video week 1?2026年8月14日上午03:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? increased by 3.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?2026年8月14日上午02:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 26? increased by 6.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedKai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?2026年8月14日上午01:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? increased by 38.3 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?2026年8月14日上午01:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? decreased by 6.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Bitcoin hit August 10-16?2026年8月13日下午11:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? increased by 38.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?2026年8月13日下午11:15 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? decreased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?2026年8月13日下午09:16 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? increased by 11.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?2026年8月13日下午09:16 [UTC]前天

預期變化The YES probability for Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? increased by 2.4 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)2026年8月13日下午05:15 [UTC]3 天前

預期變化The YES probability for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? increased by 26.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?2026年8月13日下午05:15 [UTC]3 天前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Rodri join Barcelona? increased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhere will Rodri transfer?2026年8月13日下午02:14 [UTC]3 天前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? increased by 9.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verified2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner2026年8月13日下午02:14 [UTC]3 天前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? increased by 2.2 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedBallon d'Or Winner 20262026年8月13日下午12:14 [UTC]3 天前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? decreased by 2.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedWhat price will Ethereum hit in August?2026年8月13日下午12:14 [UTC]3 天前

預期變化The YES probability for Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? decreased by 2.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours.derived observation · verifiedAnthropic IPO by __?2026年8月13日上午06:22 [UTC]3 天前

規則變化Implementing Voluntary Agreements Under the Defense Production Act is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules moved仍有效3 天前

規則變化Review of Submarine Cable Landing License Rules and Procedures To Assess Evolving National Security, Law Enforcement, Foreign Policy, and Trade Policy Risks is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules moved仍有效3 天前

規則變化DPAS Directive Allocation Order and Additional Requirements for Recoverable Critical Minerals and Materials is recorded by the Federal Register as final.source fact · verifiedrules moved仍有效3 天前

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